Well, well, well. Democrat Provisional Ballot Drills work again – 136 vote margin of victory for Steve Fox over Ron Smith.
AD-36 was supposed to be another Republican seat in the Assembly.
Once again, Connie Conway’s obsession with R vs R Races and leadership votes cost the GOP.
Please also note that three other Assembly races were decided by 4,000 votes or less – that close to a loss of 7 seats.
Meantime, Charles Munger and Republican leadership went on a rampage hunting conservatives in Rep vs Rep races.
Congratulations to the Republican Leadership, and Congratulations to the Democrat Party for recognizing the opportunity.
Yes, the California Republican Party (CRP) is an invalid cancer patient. Everyone has theories. So, let’s start with the theories and the groups promoting them in ():
#1 Conservatives and their Pro-Life stances are the problem. (Moderates)
#2 Moderates and their meely-mouth consensus building squish-outs are the problem. (Conservatives)
#3 Statist Republicans should legalize drugs and allow chaos at the RNC Convention to attract young people. (Ron Paul)
#4 We should open the borders and that will get Hispanic votes. (Clueless idiots that don’t understand Hispanics)
I have set out to prove what I have learned in 15 years of political involvement. The problem with the GOP is not much different than basic human nature. Most politicians couldn’t care less about the facts and only care about what gets them re-elected. Period.
Why else would millions get spent on RvsR races versus where it needed to go?
The Consultant and Donor class have a completely different calculation – they want to support winners. There is no consideration whatsoever for the health of the GOP. Since these people control large parts of the GOP – it explains a lot of the decisions.
Charles Munger is just the latest symptom of the disease – except that he is extremely malignant and addictive. The crack addicts that want his money check all conventions of ideology and common team sense at the door and cash the checks.
The only thing missing is sex. (with all due respect to former legislators Mike “Spanky” Duvall and Roy Ashburn.)
We have a CRP Convention coming up. This is where the legislators, donors, consultants and the people that matter will clash.
For years the legislators and consultants have viewed the voters (aka activists, party volunteers, etc) with disdain. Witness the way many Tea Parties have been infiltrated by political operatives – or how the CRA had to fight WWIII to extricate Dave Gilliard et. al. from it.
And, here is the crossroads. The CRP had become dependent on big donors and consultants in the last ten years. This led to a decimation of the base of volunteer support who were disgusted with Arnold, Meg Whitman, John McCain (fill in the candidate with weak, unclear values here) and the like.
Now, we are being told that the solution is Tony Strickland, Jim Brulte, Guy Houston, Abram Wilson or someone like any one of them for CRP Chairman.
I have spoken to Jim Brulte a few times and I know he has some friends I respect that are supporting him.
But – allow me to say that we should not treat the cancer patient with botulism.
The attitude of the legislative / consultant class is toxic. Trying to revive a dead patient with poison is absurd.
Jim Brulte has an extremely difficult case to make. He has to convince activists who are used to getting lied to and tossed aside by an arrogant ruling class that they are going to be treated differently and regarded differently under his chairmanship.
Then, Brulte has to convince donors that the activists with pitchforks aren’t going to screw their interests because they care about ideological issues. After all that, he has to get people like Charles Munger who have made it clear they think there is no place in the GOP for 2/3 of its’ members to write checks.
Finally Brulte has to convince the consultant class that they aren’t going to lose their paychecks that they get from the CRP if the activists are re-empowered.
Jim Brulte could walk across Lake Tahoe on his way to Sacramento and I don’t think he could pull that one off.
For Steve Baric, the job is far simpler – hatch a plan, sell the plan and execute the plan.
The occasion was the South Placer Republican Women’s Federated Meeting.
Gentleman Jim was invited to speak by Cindy Rowen the President of the SPRWF. (My wife is the Recording Secretary)
Jim Nielsen gave a rah-rah talk, with some details about some of the machinations about what is happening in the capitol. He talked about water issues and the renewed assault on Prop 13.
He also gave a call for statesmanship and the call to action for everyone to re-engage and help advance the ball. Nielsen recounted the time when he was elected there were 12 Republicans in the Senate and he and someone else defeated Dems and became #13 and #14… getting the GOP back over the 1/3 line.
Nielsen also brought up that we did not lose because of our values and spoke about the platform.
I thought it was amazing to see the dichotomy between Jim Nielsen the speaker and his real record of moving acceptance for the Charles Munger Platform, having his delegates lined up to vote for it and the myriad record he has accumulated over the years.
There is indeed the chance that the Jim Nielsen that negotiated $250 million for dam removal in the “water bond” and who voted for attacks on Prop 13 in the 1980′s has really seen the light.
The problem is, does it matter?
I wanted to believe in the Jim Nielsen that I saw speak. I will give him credit for being much nicer and much more polite to me when I shook his had and congratulated him on his win than Doug LaMalfa who refused to shake hands.
There is a reason why I call him Gentleman Jim. It remains to be seen what he does as a Senator.
… and don’t forget, vote for him when you get your ballot for the Jan 8th Special. He will be GOP Senator #11. (out of 40)
It has gotten back to me that Tea Party members are bragging about how they have “Taken Over” the Placer GOP Central Committee.
It appears that these Tea Party members know everything and that they have decided to start their efforts to save the Republican Party by attacking one of only three counties who have maintained their Republican numbers over the last four years.
Why aren’t those Tea Party members trying to set up operations in Sacramento County? Yolo County? – that is totally Blue Country.
It is simple – to genesis of the Tea Party war against the Placer GOP Central Committee can be found in the Rick Keene vs Doug LaMalfa state senate race. One of Doug LaMalfa’s biggest beneficiaries, Karen England went to war and got to several local Tea parties who were looking for the boogie man.
It appears that Dave Gilliard helped with a media drill as David Stafford Reade, Mark Spannagel and England wanted to make an example out of the Placer GOP’s leadership. This culminated with an article on the front page of the Sacramento Bee that was never substantiated. (Linked here is a .pdf of the story from the Modesto Bee, published the same day as it appears that Dave Gilliard got the Sacramento Bee to remove the story) In the article, Doug LaMalfa accused the Placer GOP is committing felonies including money laundering and influence peddling.
Karen England herself said at the January 2011 organizational meeting that the FBI had visited her house in October to talk about the Placer GOP’s finances. This charge of an FBI investigation has been repeated by Phyllis Wing, Dan Catania, Bonnie McAdams, Leah Cavanaugh and others in local tea parties. It has now been over two years and no one has been visited by the FBI.
However, the Tea Party members who think they know better have refused this blogger’s attempts at communication and the only interaction I have had with them is when Placer GOP events have put us in the same place.
Doug LaMalfa / Jim Nielsen’s operation had co-opted a network of Tea Parties all over the north state. That network appears to be emerging from the influence of those two as the recent Race that LaMalfa had for congress exposed a lot of his hypocricy and the real investigation in to LaMalfa’s Chief of Staff has caused most reasonable people to re-evaluate.
At some point – those of us attacked by LaMalfa get to call BS. My interactions with the local Tea Parties have largely been negative. I have known many to espouse conspiracy theories and anyone that has been in the GOP circles for a long time is treated with suspicion – except for electeds. I have also discovered many people talking behind my back and planning to do in conservative volunteers by virtue of forwarded emails.
The cause? Doug LaMalfa. Ted Gaines. Dave Gilliard. Jim Nielsen.
It is natural, they want to maintain control. Those of us that know them the best stand in opposition to them as we understand that they are not good for the Republican brand.
I know Jim Nielsen to be a fraud – he claims to be a Conservative, yet his record is anything but. The local Tea Party took Nielsen’s word for it, despite proof and walked thousands of pieces for Nielsen while allowing some really bad people they said they opposed to get re-elected to local office.
I know Doug LaMalfa to be a fraud. Despite irrefutable proof – several in local tea parties still worship at his political feet. Both Jim Nielsen and Doug LaMalfa have been proven to have participated in efforts to decimate the California Republican Party platform in a manner that no Tea Party member would approve of, but Doug LaMalfa’s explanation of it not mattering since there was no vote is accepted.
Yet – an alleged FBI investigation and allegations made by those two against Republican volunteers are believed. This is the self-righteous arrogance and stupidity that I have seen from the local tea party members. Not all are like this – but those that ran for Central Committee appear to be of this ilk. And, again – I would retract these statements, but there appears to be no desire by those actors to respond to my attempts to communicate.
My issues with the Gaines are very simple. The number of people they have screwed over is a large list. I have been very clear that my issue with Beth Gaines is that she is incompetent. Neither represents the GOP well.
Simply showing up and voting no does not cut it.
But, does any of it matter? Republicans are irrelevant in Sacramento and this drama is indeed part of the cause.
I am waiting for these local Tea Party members to actually attempt to have a dialogue. I am getting tired of hammering them, but every time I get intel back to me – it shows the same theme:
It’s all about Jim Nielsen, Doug LaMalfa, Ted Gaines, Beth Gaines and everyone that does not support them is the enemy.
As such, these so-called conservatives are ready to align themselves with liberal Republicans to attempt an overthrow of Conservatives on the Placer GOP Cent Com. (Aided and abetted by Charles Munger)
The players: Murriel Oles – rumored to be running for chairman. She openly opposed Conservative hero Tom McClintock, advocating for his primary opponent Michael Babich.
Cheryl Bly-Chester – in the opinion of this blogger, she filed an FPPC complaint against the Placer GOP, she has attacked several Placer GOP leaders in the community and is so far left that she was endorsed by the libertarians for her assembly run. She is also terminally disruptive at Cent Com Meetings.
Jon Green – President of the Moderate Group, Placer County Republican Congress. This group also lists Tea Party member Phyllis Wing on their board of directors.
Mike Holmes – Liberal Republican Auburn Councilmember – he ran against Conservative Congressman John Doolittle twice, he has supported every school bond and parcel tax in his area and he has also repeated vacuous corruption charges several times in an attempt to gain political advantage.
Leah Cavanaugh / Dianne Foster – leaders in the Auburn Women’s Fed. This group is one of the most moderate Republican groups in the county. Again, they apparently supported Tom McClintock’s Primary opponent as evidenced by photos and testimony from several sources.
You see, Tea Party members like Gary Hall, Dan Catania, Carol Wilson, Phyllis Wing, Bonnie McAdams and others are going to have to align themselves with a group of Pro-Choice, No on Prop 8 liberal Republicans who are known to support tax increases (like Placer Legacy) in order to do the bidding of Doug LaMalfa and Jim Nielsen to meet out revenge on the Conservatives.
This is the jam that they are in. I hope for their sake that these Tea Party members understand they are being used. But, then again, these are the same people that believe that there is corruption on the committee as well.
This is a microcausm of why the GOP is dead in California. Jim Nielsen. Doug LaMalfa. Dave Gilliard. Ted Gaines. Beth Gaines.
It’s all about control. (Of nothing)
But, if the Tea party members do what’s expected – maybe just maybe the aforementioned will get the revenge they have craved since 2010, or will they?